Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.0%
Pau FC
23.1%
Draw
39.9%
Red Star
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Pau FC
vs
1.46
Red Star
Markets
BTTS56.8%
Over 0.595.2%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.532.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
0-1
9.4%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.6%
0-0
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
3-1
3.8%
0-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).