Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.2%
Arouca
25.4%
Draw
30.3%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.41
Arouca
vs
1.11
Farense
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.1%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
1-0
11.9%
0-1
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.0%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).