Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.6%
Ayr
27.3%
Draw
41.1%
Dundee
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Ayr
vs
1.65
Dundee
Markets
BTTS63.0%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.559.2%
Over 3.536.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.8%
2-2
6.4%
0-0
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
0-1
5.9%
1-3
4.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.7%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).