Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →10.9%
Fakel
34.1%
Draw
55.0%
CSKA Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
0.38
Fakel
vs
1.16
CSKA Moskva
Markets
BTTS22.7%
Over 0.577.5%
Over 1.546.7%
Over 2.520.2%
Over 3.57.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
23.8%
0-0
22.5%
0-2
14.5%
1-1
10.5%
1-0
7.0%
0-3
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-1
1.8%
0-4
1.6%
2-0
1.5%
2-2
1.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).