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14 Feb 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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64.1%
Bradford
19.5%
Draw
16.4%
Tranmere

Expected Goals (xG)

2.06

Bradford

vs
0.92

Tranmere

Markets

BTTS52.1%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
6.8%
0-1
5.1%
0-0
4.7%
2-2
4.6%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
3.8%
4-1
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).