Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.7%
Paris FC
24.4%
Draw
47.9%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Paris FC
vs
1.50
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.5%
Over 3.525.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.2%
1-1
11.6%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.9%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.3%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).