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AHT: 01CSV

26 Jan 2019

Forfar

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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70.5%
Arbroath
19.6%
Draw
9.9%
Forfar

Expected Goals (xG)

2.13

Arbroath

vs
0.68

Forfar

Markets

BTTS43.9%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.577.6%
Over 2.553.2%
Over 3.531.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.7%
1-0
12.3%
3-0
9.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.5%
2-2
3.1%
1-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).