Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.5%
Cartagena
28.2%
Draw
36.3%
Amorebieta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.13
Cartagena
vs
1.15
Amorebieta
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.566.4%
Over 2.539.9%
Over 3.519.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
11.9%
1-0
11.7%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.8%
0-3
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).