Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.3%
Wrexham
27.0%
Draw
31.8%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52
Wrexham
vs
1.31
Notts County
Markets
BTTS57.9%
Over 0.593.1%
Over 1.578.3%
Over 2.553.6%
Over 3.531.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.0%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
6.9%
2-0
6.8%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
5.8%
0-2
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).