Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.2%
Lorient
26.3%
Draw
21.5%
Angers
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Lorient
vs
0.77
Angers
Markets
BTTS39.5%
Over 0.589.1%
Over 1.562.7%
Over 2.536.4%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
11.1%
0-0
10.9%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.4%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).