Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.0%
St Etienne
19.9%
Draw
56.1%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.31
St Etienne
vs
2.10
Lille
Markets
BTTS63.5%
Over 0.597.2%
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.5%
1-1
8.6%
0-1
7.5%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-2
6.2%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-0
4.8%
2-3
4.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).