Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Getafe
32.8%
Draw
24.1%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
1.09
Getafe
vs
0.74
Girona
Markets
BTTS35.0%
Over 0.583.4%
Over 1.554.9%
Over 2.527.6%
Over 3.511.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.1%
0-0
16.6%
1-1
13.4%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).