Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Sabadell
26.9%
Draw
25.2%
Ponferradina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Sabadell
vs
0.93
Ponferradina
Markets
BTTS45.5%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.541.2%
Over 3.520.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.7%
1-1
12.5%
0-0
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
5.9%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-2
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).