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AHT: 10CSV

07 Jan 2023 · 15:00

Alloa

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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37.6%
Queen of Sth
28.1%
Draw
34.4%
Alloa

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Queen of Sth

vs
1.26

Alloa

Markets

BTTS53.6%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.526.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
9.1%
0-1
8.6%
2-1
8.4%
0-0
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).