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HHT: 11CSV

31 Jan 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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71.3%
Gent
15.8%
Draw
12.9%
Waasland-Beveren

Expected Goals (xG)

2.87

Gent

vs
1.21

Waasland-Beveren

Markets

BTTS66.6%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.591.8%
Over 2.577.4%
Over 3.558.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.4%
3-1
8.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-0
6.7%
1-1
6.2%
4-1
5.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-0
4.8%
1-0
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
4-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).