Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.5%
Sabadell
26.1%
Draw
39.4%
Malaga
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25
Sabadell
vs
1.35
Malaga
Markets
BTTS52.8%
Over 0.592.7%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.526.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.4%
0-1
10.1%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.8%
0-0
7.3%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
3-1
3.3%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).