Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.7%
Cambridge
19.3%
Draw
13.9%
Tranmere
Expected Goals (xG)
2.03
Cambridge
vs
0.79
Tranmere
Markets
BTTS47.0%
Over 0.594.4%
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.5%
2-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
1-1
9.2%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
0-0
5.6%
0-1
5.1%
4-0
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).