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07 Dec 2024 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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51.4%
Nice
25.9%
Draw
22.7%
Le Havre

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Nice

vs
0.82

Le Havre

Markets

BTTS41.6%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.538.5%
Over 3.518.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-0
10.6%
0-0
10.1%
0-1
9.6%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.1%
0-2
3.6%
2-2
3.6%
4-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).