Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →86.4%
Sp Lisbon
8.6%
Draw
5.0%
Estoril
Expected Goals (xG)
3.46
Sp Lisbon
vs
0.79
Estoril
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.579.6%
Over 3.561.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
4-0
8.5%
3-1
7.8%
2-1
6.7%
4-1
6.7%
5-0
5.9%
1-0
5.1%
5-1
4.7%
1-1
3.7%
3-2
3.1%
2-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).