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AHT: 10CSV

12 Dec 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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60.7%
Hamilton
24.2%
Draw
15.1%
Ross County

Expected Goals (xG)

1.78

Hamilton

vs
0.77

Ross County

Markets

BTTS45.4%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.2%
2-0
12.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
8.5%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.7%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).