Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.4%
Bari
26.7%
Draw
54.9%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Bari
vs
1.65
Parma
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.7%
0-1
12.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
9.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-0
5.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).