Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.8%
Cadiz
31.6%
Draw
35.6%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Cadiz
vs
0.97
Burgos
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.585.1%
Over 1.556.3%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
14.9%
0-1
14.8%
1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.4%
0-2
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
2-1
6.2%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.3%
1-3
2.1%
3-0
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).