Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.7%
Basford United
24.1%
Draw
37.2%
Thatcham Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.46
Basford United
vs
1.42
Thatcham Town
Markets
BTTS57.8%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.554.9%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
6.0%
0-2
5.7%
0-0
5.3%
3-1
4.1%
1-3
3.9%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).