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AHT: 11CSV

24 Sept 2023 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.3%
Mirandes
30.3%
Draw
36.5%
Leganes

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Mirandes

vs
1.05

Leganes

Markets

BTTS40.5%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.560.1%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.9%
1-1
13.4%
1-0
13.1%
0-0
13.0%
0-2
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
6.4%
2-2
3.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).