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DHT: 01CSV

23 Apr 2016

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Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.8%
Torquay
29.9%
Draw
27.3%
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Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Torquay

vs
1.01

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Markets

BTTS47.6%
Over 0.589.2%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.541.1%
Over 3.520.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.8%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.6%
2-0
8.5%
1-2
6.5%
0-2
4.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).