Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.7%
Cardiff
21.2%
Draw
18.1%
Bradford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Cardiff
vs
0.83
Bradford
Markets
BTTS45.7%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.548.1%
Over 3.526.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
2-0
11.7%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
6.9%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).