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09 Apr 2023 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.9%
Besiktas
22.8%
Draw
10.2%
Giresunspor

Expected Goals (xG)

2.21

Besiktas

vs
0.81

Giresunspor

Markets

BTTS51.7%
Over 0.592.9%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.9%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.7%
1-0
8.6%
3-1
7.1%
0-0
7.1%
4-0
4.8%
2-2
3.9%
4-1
3.9%
1-2
3.6%
3-2
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).