Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.5%
Parma
19.3%
Draw
9.2%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Parma
vs
0.69
Avellino
Markets
BTTS45.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.4%
Over 2.555.4%
Over 3.533.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.5%
1-0
11.4%
3-0
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
1-1
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.3%
4-0
5.5%
4-1
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).