Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →18.4%
Wolves
28.5%
Draw
53.1%
Aston Villa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Wolves
vs
1.58
Aston Villa
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.571.5%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.4%
0-1
12.3%
0-2
11.0%
0-0
10.4%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
5.8%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.0%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).