Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.0%
Sassuolo
27.5%
Draw
22.5%
Lecce
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Sassuolo
vs
0.81
Lecce
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.588.8%
Over 1.563.6%
Over 2.537.0%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
10.6%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
5.1%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).