Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Benevento
21.0%
Draw
30.3%
Crotone
Expected Goals (xG)
2.05
Benevento
vs
1.59
Crotone
Markets
BTTS69.1%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.587.6%
Over 2.570.4%
Over 3.549.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
7.0%
1-2
6.8%
3-1
6.0%
1-0
5.5%
2-0
5.5%
3-2
4.8%
0-1
4.3%
3-0
3.8%
2-3
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).