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26 Sept 2024 · 18:45

Gent

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.6%
Cercle Brugge
24.3%
Draw
39.1%
Gent

Expected Goals (xG)

1.56

Cercle Brugge

vs
1.62

Gent

Markets

BTTS63.6%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.582.9%
Over 2.561.4%
Over 3.539.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
6.4%
1-0
6.1%
0-2
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
0-0
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.3%
2-3
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).