Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →64.3%
Hatayspor
23.0%
Draw
12.7%
Istanbulspor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Hatayspor
vs
0.98
Istanbulspor
Markets
BTTS58.3%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.563.1%
Over 3.541.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.8%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
7.4%
1-0
6.6%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
4-1
4.2%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).