Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Lazio
28.4%
Draw
30.8%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.20
Lazio
vs
1.01
Genoa
Markets
BTTS44.2%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.564.6%
Over 2.538.0%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.4%
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.3%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
8.0%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.2%
3-0
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).