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05 Oct 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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20.7%
Greuther Furth
21.0%
Draw
58.3%
Hannover

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Greuther Furth

vs
2.32

Hannover

Markets

BTTS67.6%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.588.9%
Over 2.571.0%
Over 3.550.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.3%
1-1
8.8%
1-3
7.2%
0-2
6.8%
2-2
6.3%
2-1
5.4%
0-3
5.3%
0-1
5.1%
2-3
4.8%
1-4
4.2%
0-0
3.3%
0-4
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).