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21 Sept 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.9%
Oleksandria
31.8%
Draw
21.3%
Livyi Bereh

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Oleksandria

vs
0.68

Livyi Bereh

Markets

BTTS34.3%
Over 0.583.8%
Over 1.555.4%
Over 2.528.1%
Over 3.511.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.0%
0-0
16.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).