Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.9%
Union Berlin
25.5%
Draw
27.6%
Wolfsburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71
Union Berlin
vs
1.27
Wolfsburg
Markets
BTTS59.6%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.4%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).