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AHT: 01CSV

08 Nov 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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72.8%
Sheffield United
18.4%
Draw
8.8%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

2.23

Sheffield United

vs
0.65

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS43.5%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.9%
1-0
11.9%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
0-0
6.2%
4-0
5.8%
4-1
3.8%
0-1
3.0%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).