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17 Apr 2022 · 18:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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15.2%
Giresunspor
26.9%
Draw
57.9%
Besiktas

Expected Goals (xG)

0.93

Giresunspor

vs
1.92

Besiktas

Markets

BTTS54.4%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
8.3%
0-3
6.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
4.8%
2-2
4.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-4
3.1%
2-3
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).