Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.7%
Krasnodar
24.3%
Draw
14.0%
CSKA Moskva
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Krasnodar
vs
0.79
CSKA Moskva
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.527.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.2%
1-0
11.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
6.0%
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).