Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.2%
Aves
22.7%
Draw
22.2%
Portimonense
Expected Goals (xG)
1.74
Aves
vs
1.00
Portimonense
Markets
BTTS51.7%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.575.4%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
6.9%
0-0
5.9%
3-1
5.7%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.2%
3-2
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).