Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.9%
Fleetwood Town
27.0%
Draw
37.1%
Exeter
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.10
Exeter
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.589.9%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.537.3%
Over 3.517.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
1-0
13.3%
1-1
12.3%
0-0
10.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
0-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).