Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →67.0%
Bielefeld
21.2%
Draw
11.8%
Ingolstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
2.09
Bielefeld
vs
0.77
Ingolstadt
Markets
BTTS47.9%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.7%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.5%
1-0
11.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.6%
4-0
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.6%
0-1
3.5%
4-1
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).