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DHT: 11CSV

13 Nov 2022 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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74.2%
Darmstadt
15.1%
Draw
10.7%
Greuther Furth

Expected Goals (xG)

2.95

Darmstadt

vs
1.11

Greuther Furth

Markets

BTTS64.1%
Over 0.597.7%
Over 1.591.9%
Over 2.577.1%
Over 3.557.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-0
7.4%
1-1
6.2%
4-1
6.1%
4-0
5.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-2
4.6%
1-0
4.5%
5-1
3.6%
4-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).