Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.2%
Fleetwood Town
22.9%
Draw
44.9%
Reading
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.55
Reading
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.553.7%
Over 3.531.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
0-2
7.2%
2-2
5.8%
0-0
4.9%
2-0
4.8%
1-3
4.7%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).