Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.5%
Man United
23.5%
Draw
19.0%
West Ham
Expected Goals (xG)
2.07
Man United
vs
1.14
West Ham
Markets
BTTS60.9%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.584.4%
Over 2.562.4%
Over 3.540.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
7.0%
3-1
6.8%
3-0
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
0-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).