Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.9%
Lillestrøm
24.2%
Draw
42.0%
Kristiansund
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Lillestrøm
vs
1.57
Kristiansund
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.594.9%
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.534.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.2%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
1-0
7.3%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.1%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.7%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).