Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.5%
Ein Frankfurt
24.3%
Draw
29.3%
Mainz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.83
Ein Frankfurt
vs
1.42
Mainz
Markets
BTTS64.4%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.584.3%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.540.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
6.5%
2-0
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
4.8%
0-0
4.6%
3-2
4.0%
3-0
4.0%
0-2
3.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).