Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.9%
Shrewsbury
22.6%
Draw
55.5%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Shrewsbury
vs
1.76
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS51.9%
Over 0.594.1%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.552.0%
Over 3.529.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.6%
1-1
10.7%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-0
6.8%
0-0
5.9%
1-3
5.7%
0-3
5.7%
2-1
5.6%
2-2
4.9%
2-0
3.2%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).