Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.7%
Crawley Town
17.9%
Draw
35.3%
Bishop Auckland
Expected Goals (xG)
2.66
Crawley Town
vs
2.33
Bishop Auckland
Markets
BTTS83.8%
Over 0.599.5%
Over 1.595.8%
Over 2.587.4%
Over 3.573.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-2
6.5%
3-2
5.8%
2-1
5.6%
2-3
5.1%
3-1
5.0%
1-2
4.9%
3-3
4.5%
1-1
4.1%
4-2
3.9%
1-3
3.8%
4-1
3.3%
4-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).